soccer · Chelsea · RW/LW · age 18 · about a year
This is the soccer entry for Geovany Quenda: RW/LW for Chelsea, age 18. It sits alongside 81 other player entries in the picks tool.
At 78, accessibility is unusually good for something scored this highly elsewhere. Cards like that don't stay accessible forever, which is the argument for looking now rather than later.
Card upside (86) sits above the breakout score (70), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 6 soccer breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 70 ranks 5th of 6, card upside 86 ranks 5th, accessibility 78 ranks 3rd, and risk 40 is the 6th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Yan Diomande, which scores 80 and 90 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
A risk score of 40 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
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