Ludvig Aberg — golf, Golfer, PGA Tour, age 25. One of 82 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
An accessibility score of 46 means partly priced in. You are not early and you are not late, which in practice means being picky about which specific card you buy matters more than the timing.
Breakout (86) and card upside (88) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against all 80 breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 86 ranks 15th of 80, card upside 88 ranks 25th, accessibility 46 ranks 55th, and risk 24 is the 15th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Robert MacIntyre, which scores 70 and 72 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
Risk is scored 24, toward the low end of anything in the tool. Low risk in trading cards is still not low risk in any sense your bank would recognise — it means the identifiable ways for this to go wrong are fewer, not that they're absent.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built