football · Chicago Bears · WR · age 22 · about a year
Luther Burden III is one of 82 player entries in The Card Investor. Age 22, listed at WR, currently with Chicago Bears — filed under football.
The useful number is accessibility at 65: you can still get in at a price that leaves room between what you pay and the best case. That gap is the whole return.
Breakout (80) and card upside (84) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 14 football breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 80 ranks 5th of 14, card upside 84 ranks 6th, accessibility 65 ranks 6th, and risk 28 is the 1st-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Jeremiyah Love, which scores 90 and 90 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
At 28, this is one of the calmer entries in here. Read that as relative: the floor under any card is whatever the next person will pay, and that number can move a long way in a month.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built