baseball · Boston Red Sox · OF · age 22 · about a year
Roman Anthony — baseball, OF, Boston Red Sox, age 22. One of 78 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
The useful number is accessibility at 72: you can still get in at a price that leaves room between what you pay and the best case. That gap is the whole return.
Card upside (86) sits above the breakout score (72), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 13 baseball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 72 ranks 9th of 13, card upside 86 ranks 7th, accessibility 72 ranks 2nd, and risk 45 is the 9th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is George Lombard Jr., which scores 78 and 84 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
A risk score of 45 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
You can realistically find Roman Anthony cards at the card aisle at Walmart or Target, a local card shop, a card show and online.
This is common enough to turn up on a big-box shelf, so the retail aisle is worth checking before anywhere else — it is the only venue on this list where you are not buying from a reseller.
Because this is a player rather than a product, you are shopping for singles: show tables and online marketplaces always have them, and the rest of the list depends on how widely the cards were printed.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built
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