baseball · Boston Red Sox · OF · age 21 · about a year
Roman Anthony — baseball, OF, Boston Red Sox, age 21. One of 82 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
The useful number is accessibility at 72: you can still get in at a price that leaves room between what you pay and the best case. That gap is the whole return.
Card upside (80) sits above the breakout score (54), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 14 baseball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 54 ranks 13th of 14, card upside 80 ranks 9th, accessibility 72 ranks 2nd, and risk 65 is the 13th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Ethan Salas, which scores 46 and 80 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
65 on risk is not a rounding error. Position size is the only real defence against a number that high, and it's the one lever entirely within your control.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built