soccer · Real Madrid · LW/RW · age 19 · about a year
Yan Diomande — soccer, LW/RW, Real Madrid, age 19. One of 82 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
The useful number is accessibility at 85: you can still get in at a price that leaves room between what you pay and the best case. That gap is the whole return.
Card upside (90) sits above the breakout score (80), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 6 soccer breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 80 ranks 2nd of 6, card upside 90 ranks 4th, accessibility 85 ranks 2nd, and risk 38 is the 5th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Noah Sadiki, which scores 78 and 82 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
A risk score of 38 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built