Bowman Chrome · Blue sapphire refractor · Direct-to-consumer · about two years
Bowman Sapphire, filed under parallels. Scored on four axes, because a type that gains value but can't be sold quickly is a different proposition from one you can move in a weekend.
Appreciation 80, liquidity 65 — a middling, workable profile. Nothing about the shape of it forces a decision, which means the price you pay decides whether it was a good idea.
Accessibility of 22 is the catch. That score tracks whether you can buy near MSRP or you're already paying a premium to someone else, and at 22 you are paying up. A card with real upside bought at double MSRP is a worse purchase than an ordinary one bought at retail.
Set against the 12 parallel card types scored here, its appreciation of 80 ranks 8th of 12, liquidity 65 ranks 10th, accessibility 22 ranks 9th, and risk 32 is the 5th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Gold /10, which scores 85 and 60 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
Two years gives the situation time to develop past its first impression, which is usually when the price is set by whoever shouted loudest. It also means two years of not touching it, including through the stretch where it looks wrong.
Risk is scored 32, toward the low end of anything in the tool. Low risk in trading cards is still not low risk in any sense your bank would recognise — it means the identifiable ways for this to go wrong are fewer, not that they're absent.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: what Kabooms, Downtowns and Color Blasts are worth.
Or browse all card types · how these scores are built