baseball · Cleveland Guardians · OF · age 23 · about a year
Chase DeLauter — baseball, OF, Cleveland Guardians, age 23. One of 74 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
Accessibility lands mid-table at 55. The obvious cards have moved, but there are still parallels and lesser versions priced sensibly if you're willing to hunt. That hunting is where the actual work of this one sits.
Breakout (84) and card upside (88) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 13 baseball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 84 ranks 6th of 13, card upside 88 ranks 5th, accessibility 55 ranks 5th, and risk 24 is the 4th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Junior Caminero, which scores 92 and 88 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
Risk is scored 24, toward the low end of anything in the tool. Low risk in trading cards is still not low risk in any sense your bank would recognise — it means the identifiable ways for this to go wrong are fewer, not that they're absent.
You can realistically find Chase DeLauter cards at a local card shop, a card show and online.
Skip the retail aisle for this. It is a hobby product, which means shops and distributors get it and big-box stores never do.
Because this is a player rather than a product, you are shopping for singles: show tables and online marketplaces always have them, and the rest of the list depends on how widely the cards were printed.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built
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