baseball · Cleveland Guardians · OF · age 23 · about a year
Chase DeLauter — baseball, OF, Cleveland Guardians, age 23. One of 82 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
Accessibility lands mid-table at 55. The obvious cards have moved, but there are still parallels and lesser versions priced sensibly if you're willing to hunt. That hunting is where the actual work of this one sits.
Breakout (84) and card upside (88) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 14 baseball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 84 ranks 6th of 14, card upside 88 ranks 5th, accessibility 55 ranks 5th, and risk 24 is the 4th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Junior Caminero, which scores 92 and 88 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
Risk is scored 24, toward the low end of anything in the tool. Low risk in trading cards is still not low risk in any sense your bank would recognise — it means the identifiable ways for this to go wrong are fewer, not that they're absent.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built