tennis · WTA Tour · Singles · age 18 · about a year
Iva Jovic — tennis, Singles, WTA Tour, age 18. One of 78 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
Accessibility of 86 is what makes this interesting. The hobby hasn't priced the story in yet, and that is the only condition under which a high upside score is actually worth something to a buyer rather than to whoever already owns the cards.
Breakout (82) and card upside (86) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 4 tennis breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 82 ranks 2nd of 4, card upside 86 ranks 3rd, accessibility 86 ranks 1st, and risk 32 is the 2nd-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Learner Tien, which scores 90 and 92 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
At 32, this is one of the calmer entries in here. Read that as relative: the floor under any card is whatever the next person will pay, and that number can move a long way in a month.
You can realistically find Iva Jovic cards at the card aisle at Walmart or Target, a local card shop, a card show and online.
This is common enough to turn up on a big-box shelf, so the retail aisle is worth checking before anywhere else — it is the only venue on this list where you are not buying from a reseller.
Because this is a player rather than a product, you are shopping for singles: show tables and online marketplaces always have them, and the rest of the list depends on how widely the cards were printed.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built
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