tennis · ATP Tour · Singles · age 20 · about two years
This is the tennis entry for Jakub Mensik: Singles for ATP Tour, age 20. It sits alongside 81 other player entries in the picks tool.
At 74, accessibility is unusually good for something scored this highly elsewhere. Cards like that don't stay accessible forever, which is the argument for looking now rather than later.
Card upside (88) sits above the breakout score (78), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 5 tennis breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 78 ranks 2nd of 5, card upside 88 ranks 1st, accessibility 74 ranks 3rd, and risk 58 is the 5th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Iva Jovic, which scores 78 and 84 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
Two years gives the situation time to develop past its first impression, which is usually when the price is set by whoever shouted loudest. It also means two years of not touching it, including through the stretch where it looks wrong.
Risk at 58 is high and should be read literally. Entries this risky belong in the part of a collection you could write off without it changing anything about your year.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built