baseball · Detroit Tigers · SS · age 21 · roughly a month
Kevin McGonigle All-Star Peak (Partial Sell) — baseball, SS, Detroit Tigers, age 21. One of 82 entries, each scored on four separate axes rather than given a single grade.
An accessibility score of 38 means partly priced in. You are not early and you are not late, which in practice means being picky about which specific card you buy matters more than the timing.
Breakout (55) and card upside (55) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 14 baseball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 55 ranks 10th of 14, card upside 55 ranks 12th, accessibility 38 ranks 12th, and risk 38 is the 7th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Shohei Ohtani Historic-Season Peak (Sell), which scores 55 and 38 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
This is a flip, not a hold. The window is weeks, and it exists because something is happening right now that produces fresh coverage every few days. Flips fail in a specific way: the story ends, attention moves on, and you're holding something you bought at the top of a news cycle. If you can't watch it, this isn't the entry for you.
A risk score of 38 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built