Pokémon · Surging Sparks · Special Illustration Rare · about two years
Filed under Pokémon. Pikachu ex SIR tracks Special Illustration Rare from Surging Sparks — a specific card to watch rather than an athlete to bet on.
An accessibility score of 48 means partly priced in. You are not early and you are not late, which in practice means being picky about which specific card you buy matters more than the timing.
Breakout (74) and card upside (78) sit close together, which is the straightforward case: if the performance arrives, the cards should follow it rather than shrug.
Set against the 7 Pokémon breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 74 ranks 4th of 7, card upside 78 ranks 5th, accessibility 48 ranks 5th, and risk 24 is the 2nd-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Charizard ex SAR, which scores 68 and 85 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
Two years gives the situation time to develop past its first impression, which is usually when the price is set by whoever shouted loudest. It also means two years of not touching it, including through the stretch where it looks wrong.
Risk is scored 24, toward the low end of anything in the tool. Low risk in trading cards is still not low risk in any sense your bank would recognise — it means the identifiable ways for this to go wrong are fewer, not that they're absent.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built