Bowman / Prizm · Buy pre-draft, sell after Week 4 · about six months
NFL Draft Rookie Cards (Hold), filed under base and rookie cards. Scored on four axes, because a type that gains value but can't be sold quickly is a different proposition from one you can move in a weekend.
Appreciation 75 with liquidity 88 is the combination worth looking for: room left to run, and a market deep enough that you could act on a change of mind. It's also the combination that attracts the most competition, which is usually why accessibility is the score that suffers.
Accessibility of 55 means you'll pay somewhat over the sensible number but not absurdly so. Worth watching, because this score moves faster than any of the other three.
Set against the 7 base and rookie card types scored here, its appreciation of 75 ranks 6th of 7, liquidity 88 ranks 3rd, accessibility 55 ranks 6th, and risk 40 is the 5th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is MLB Breakout Rookie Cards (Hold), which scores 80 and 85 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
The window is about six months. Long enough that one bad month doesn't settle it, short enough that you're betting on a specific stretch rather than a career. Six-month positions are where people most often forget they set a deadline.
A risk score of 40 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: what Kabooms, Downtowns and Color Blasts are worth.
Or browse all card types · how these scores are built