basketball · Dallas Mavericks · SF · age 21 · about a year
This is the basketball entry for Zaccharie Risacher: SF for Dallas Mavericks, age 21. It sits alongside 81 other player entries in the picks tool.
At 65, accessibility is unusually good for something scored this highly elsewhere. Cards like that don't stay accessible forever, which is the argument for looking now rather than later.
Card upside (82) sits above the breakout score (62), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.
Set against the 10 basketball breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 62 ranks 5th of 10, card upside 82 ranks 6th, accessibility 65 ranks 3rd, and risk 46 is the 6th-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Tre Johnson, which scores 68 and 82 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.
A one-year horizon means you're betting on a single body of work — one season, essentially. That's a much narrower bet than a career, and it should be sized like one.
A risk score of 46 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.
Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.
Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built