Breakout Picks · Updated August 2026

Oliver Bearman

Formula 1 · Haas → Ferrari pipeline · Driver · age 20 · about two years

Breakout70/100
Card upside84/100
Accessibility72/100
Risk42/100
Standings 13th in the drivers' championship on 18 points after Hungary (round 11, Jul 26)Hungary Qualified 17th, finished 17th, demoted to 19th on a 5-second blue-flag penalty

Oliver Bearman is one of 74 player entries in The Card Investor. Age 20, listed at Driver, currently with Haas → Ferrari pipeline — filed under Formula 1.

Accessibility of 72 is what makes this interesting. The hobby hasn't priced the story in yet, and that is the only condition under which a high upside score is actually worth something to a buyer rather than to whoever already owns the cards.

Card upside (84) sits above the breakout score (70), which is the rarer shape. It means the cards look primed to react even though the step up in performance is less certain — usually because market size, playing style or an existing collector base is doing work the stat line isn't.

Set against the 5 Formula 1 breakout picks scored here, its breakout of 70 ranks 3rd of 5, card upside 84 ranks 2nd, accessibility 72 ranks 3rd, and risk 42 is the 3rd-lowest. The closest thing to it on the numbers is Gabriel Bortoleto, which scores 64 and 78 on the same two axes — if you're weighing one against the other, the difference is in the reasoning rather than the scores.

Two years gives the situation time to develop past its first impression, which is usually when the price is set by whoever shouted loudest. It also means two years of not touching it, including through the stretch where it looks wrong.

A risk score of 42 means ordinary risk — the failure modes are the boring ones, which is also why they're easy to talk yourself out of worrying about.

Where to buy Oliver Bearman

Walmart / TargetCard shopCard showOnline

You can realistically find Oliver Bearman cards at the card aisle at Walmart or Target, a local card shop, a card show and online.

This is common enough to turn up on a big-box shelf, so the retail aisle is worth checking before anywhere else — it is the only venue on this list where you are not buying from a reseller.

Show tables and online listings are where individual cards change hands, so those two are always open to you. What varies is whether a shop or a retail pack is a sensible way in as well.

Price range $—–$— · verdict — · full reasoning, entry timing, what would change our mind, and the specific cards this applies to
Three things are behind the login for this entry: the price range we think is fair, the buy, hold or sell call, and the full reasoning — including what would change it.
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How to read these four numbers

Every entry gets four separate scores instead of one grade, because a single grade hides the thing you needed. Full explanation in the guide: how to spot a breakout before the cards move.

Related breakout picks

Or browse all breakout picks · how these scores are built

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